Discounted Cash Flow
UBS Group AG Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $28.4b | $82.0m | $-18.2b | 0.3% | $0.86 |
| 2017 | $29.2b (3.0%) | $76.0m (-7.3%) | $-52.5b (-187.9%) | 0.3% (-10.0%) | $0.28 (-67.4%) |
| 2018 | $30.3b (3.9%) | $7.0m (-90.8%) | $27.2b (151.9%) | 0.0% (-91.1%) | $1.21 (332.1%) |
| 2019 | $29.0b (-4.5%) | $6.0m (-14.3%) | $18.1b (-33.4%) | 0.0% (-10.3%) | $1.17 (-3.3%) |
| 2020 | $33.1b (14.2%) | $15.0m (150.0%) | $35.1b (93.7%) | 0.0% (118.9%) | $1.83 (56.4%) |
| 2021 | $35.4b (7.0%) | $29.0m (93.3%) | $29.6b (-15.7%) | 0.1% (80.7%) | $2.14 (16.9%) |
| 2022 | $34.6b (-2.3%) | $32.0m (10.3%) | $13.0b (-56.0%) | 0.1% (13.0%) | $2.34 (9.3%) |
| 2023 | $40.8b (18.1%) | $16.0m (-50.0%) | $84.4b (548.9%) | 0.0% (-57.7%) | $8.83 (277.4%) |
| 2024 | $48.6b (19.0%) | $60.0m (275.0%) | $1.3b (-98.5%) | 0.1% (215.0%) | $1.59 (-82.0%) |
| 2025 | $49.6b (2.0%) | $30.0m (-50.0%) | $19.5b (1432.2%) | 0.1% (-51.0%) | $2.46 (54.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.