Discounted Cash Flow

Ucloudlink Group Inc. ADR

UCL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017
2018 $126.4m $-26.6m $-24.0m -21.0% $-0.16
2019 $158.4m (25.3%) $5.2m (119.6%) $3.0m (112.5%) 3.3% (115.6%) $0.01 (106.2%)
2020 $89.6m (-43.4%) $-63.4m (-1317.9%) $-3.3m (-209.3%) -70.8% (-2253.5%) $-0.25 (-2600.0%)
2021 $73.8m (-17.6%) $-46.0m (27.4%) $-22.5m (-584.7%) -62.4% (11.9%) $-0.16 (36.0%)
2022 $71.5m (-3.2%) $-19.9m (56.9%) $-426.0k (98.1%) -27.8% (55.5%) $-0.06 (62.5%)
2023 $85.6m (19.8%) $2.8m (114.2%) $4.4m (1142.7%) 3.3% (111.8%) $0.01 (116.7%)
2024 $91.6m (7.1%) $4.6m (62.1%) $-4.6m (-202.9%) 5.0% (51.4%) $0.01 (0.0%)
2025 $81.4m (-11.1%) $6.3m (38.2%) $-3.0m (35.4%) 7.7% (55.5%) $0.02 (100.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model