Discounted Cash Flow
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $562.8m | $10.1m | $10.3m | 1.8% | $0.31 |
| 2017 | $924.4m (64.3%) | $75.1m (647.0%) | $32.8m (218.1%) | 8.1% (354.8%) | $2.25 (625.8%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (18.6%) | $36.6m (-51.3%) | $15.6m (-52.5%) | 3.3% (-58.9%) | $0.95 (-57.8%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (-2.8%) | $-9.4m (-125.7%) | $94.7m (508.7%) | -0.9% (-126.4%) | $-0.24 (-125.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (31.2%) | $77.6m (925.5%) | $60.9m (-35.7%) | 5.5% (729.3%) | $1.93 (904.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (50.3%) | $119.5m (54.0%) | $152.3m (150.1%) | 5.7% (2.5%) | $2.75 (42.5%) |
| 2022 | $2.4b (13.0%) | $40.4m (-66.2%) | $-52.9m (-134.7%) | 1.7% (-70.1%) | $0.89 (-67.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (-26.9%) | $-31.1m (-177.0%) | $60.1m (213.6%) | -1.8% (-205.4%) | $-0.70 (-178.7%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (20.9%) | $23.7m (176.2%) | $1.5m (-97.5%) | 1.1% (163.0%) | $0.53 (175.7%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (-2.1%) | $-181.2m (-864.6%) | $15.3m (920.0%) | -8.8% (-880.8%) | $-4.00 (-854.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.