Discounted Cash Flow

UFP Industries Inc.

UFPI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.2b $101.2m $118.8m 3.1% $4.97
2017 $3.9b (21.6%) $119.5m (18.1%) $65.5m (-44.9%) 3.0% (-2.9%) $1.95 (-60.8%)
2018 $4.5b (13.9%) $148.6m (24.3%) $20.8m (-68.2%) 3.3% (9.2%) $2.41 (23.6%)
2019 $4.4b (-1.6%) $179.7m (20.9%) $264.4m (1169.5%) 4.1% (22.9%) $2.91 (20.7%)
2020 $5.2b (16.7%) $246.8m (37.4%) $247.3m (-6.5%) 4.8% (17.7%) $4.00 (37.5%)
2021 $8.6b (67.6%) $535.6m (117.1%) $361.3m (46.1%) 6.2% (29.5%) $8.61 (115.2%)
2022 $9.6b (11.5%) $692.7m (29.3%) $657.4m (82.0%) 7.2% (16.0%) $11.05 (28.3%)
2023 $7.2b (-25.0%) $514.3m (-25.7%) $779.5m (18.6%) 7.1% (-1.0%) $8.21 (-25.7%)
2024 $6.7b (-7.8%) $414.6m (-19.4%) $410.3m (-47.4%) 6.2% (-12.5%) $6.78 (-17.4%)
2025 $6.3b (-5.0%) $294.8m (-28.9%) $276.4m (-32.6%) 4.7% (-25.2%) $5.00 (-26.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model