Discounted Cash Flow

UFP Technologies Inc.

UFPT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $146.1m $8.0m $2.1m 5.5% $1.11
2017 $147.8m (1.2%) $9.2m (15.6%) $7.1m (237.5%) 6.2% (14.2%) $1.27 (14.4%)
2018 $190.5m (28.8%) $14.3m (55.4%) $15.9m (124.2%) 7.5% (20.6%) $1.95 (53.5%)
2019 $198.4m (4.2%) $19.8m (38.0%) $25.5m (60.1%) 10.0% (32.5%) $2.66 (36.4%)
2020 $179.4m (-9.6%) $13.4m (-32.3%) $20.7m (-18.8%) 7.5% (-25.1%) $1.79 (-32.7%)
2021 $206.3m (15.0%) $15.9m (18.8%) $8.9m (-57.0%) 7.7% (3.3%) $2.11 (17.9%)
2022 $353.8m (71.5%) $41.8m (163.1%) $4.0m (-55.5%) 11.8% (53.4%) $5.52 (161.6%)
2023 $400.1m (13.1%) $44.9m (7.5%) $30.8m (678.1%) 11.2% (-4.9%) $5.89 (6.7%)
2024 $504.4m (26.1%) $59.0m (31.3%) $56.9m (84.6%) 11.7% (4.1%) $7.69 (30.6%)
2025 $602.8m (19.5%) $68.3m (15.8%) $91.9m (61.3%) 11.3% (-3.1%) $8.87 (15.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model