Discounted Cash Flow
UGI Corp. /Pa/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.7b | $364.7m | $405.9m | 6.4% | $2.11 |
| 2017 | $6.1b (7.7%) | $436.6m (19.7%) | $325.5m (-19.8%) | 7.1% (11.2%) | $2.51 (19.0%) |
| 2018 | $7.7b (25.0%) | $718.7m (64.6%) | $510.9m (57.0%) | 9.4% (31.7%) | $4.13 (64.5%) |
| 2019 | $7.2b (-5.8%) | $256.2m (-64.4%) | $373.5m (-26.9%) | 3.6% (-62.2%) | $1.44 (-65.1%) |
| 2020 | $6.6b (-9.0%) | $532.0m (107.7%) | $447.0m (19.7%) | 8.1% (128.3%) | $2.55 (77.1%) |
| 2021 | $7.4b (13.5%) | $1.5b (175.8%) | $791.0m (77.0%) | 19.7% (142.9%) | $7.02 (175.3%) |
| 2022 | $10.1b (35.7%) | $1.1b (-26.9%) | $-88.0m (-111.1%) | 10.6% (-46.1%) | $5.11 (-27.2%) |
| 2023 | $8.9b (-11.7%) | $-1.5b (-240.0%) | $133.0m (251.1%) | -16.8% (-258.5%) | $-7.16 (-240.1%) |
| 2024 | $7.2b (-19.2%) | $269.0m (117.9%) | $386.0m (190.2%) | 3.7% (122.2%) | $1.27 (117.7%) |
| 2025 | $7.3b (1.1%) | $678.0m (152.0%) | $390.0m (1.0%) | 9.3% (149.4%) | $3.15 (148.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.