Discounted Cash Flow
Universal Health Services Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $9.8b | $702.4m | $768.5m | 7.2% | $7.22 |
| 2017 | $10.4b (6.6%) | $752.3m (7.1%) | $625.1m (-18.7%) | 7.2% (0.5%) | $7.86 (8.9%) |
| 2018 | $10.8b (3.5%) | $779.7m (3.6%) | $675.9m (8.1%) | 7.2% (0.2%) | $8.35 (6.2%) |
| 2019 | $11.4b (5.6%) | $814.9m (4.5%) | $804.4m (19.0%) | 7.2% (-1.1%) | $9.16 (9.7%) |
| 2020 | $11.6b (1.6%) | $944.0m (15.8%) | $1.6b (102.5%) | 8.2% (14.0%) | $11.06 (20.7%) |
| 2021 | $12.6b (9.4%) | $991.6m (5.0%) | $28.0m (-98.3%) | 7.8% (-4.0%) | $11.99 (8.4%) |
| 2022 | $13.4b (6.0%) | $675.6m (-31.9%) | $262.0m (834.6%) | 5.0% (-35.7%) | $9.23 (-23.0%) |
| 2023 | $14.3b (6.6%) | $717.8m (6.2%) | $524.7m (100.3%) | 5.0% (-0.3%) | $10.35 (12.1%) |
| 2024 | $15.8b (10.8%) | $1.1b (59.1%) | $1.1b (114.1%) | 7.2% (43.6%) | $17.16 (65.8%) |
| 2025 | $17.4b (9.7%) | $1.5b (30.4%) | $849.2m (-24.4%) | 8.6% (18.8%) | $23.42 (36.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.