Discounted Cash Flow

Ubiquiti Inc.

UI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $666.4m $213.6m $191.3m 32.1% $2.53
2017 $865.3m (29.8%) $257.5m (20.5%) $104.8m (-45.2%) 29.8% (-7.2%) $3.16 (24.9%)
2018 $1.0b (17.5%) $196.3m (-23.8%) $322.9m (208.1%) 19.3% (-35.1%) $2.54 (-19.6%)
2019 $1.2b (14.2%) $322.7m (64.4%) $249.6m (-22.7%) 27.8% (43.9%) $4.52 (78.0%)
2020 $1.3b (10.6%) $380.3m (17.9%) $429.7m (72.2%) 29.6% (6.6%) $5.81 (28.5%)
2021 $1.9b (47.8%) $616.6m (62.1%) $593.7m (38.2%) 32.5% (9.7%) $9.79 (68.5%)
2022 $1.7b (-10.9%) $378.7m (-38.6%) $356.8m (-39.9%) 22.4% (-31.1%) $6.14 (-37.3%)
2023 $1.9b (14.7%) $407.6m (7.7%) $-166.4m (-146.6%) 21.0% (-6.1%) $6.75 (9.9%)
2024 $1.9b (-0.6%) $350.0m (-14.1%) $529.5m (418.3%) 18.1% (-13.6%) $5.79 (-14.2%)
2025 $2.6b (33.4%) $711.9m (103.4%) $627.4m (18.5%) 27.7% (52.4%) $11.77 (103.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model