Discounted Cash Flow
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.1b | $24.2m | $-28.7m | 2.3% | $0.85 |
| 2017 | $1.2b (13.4%) | $28.2m (16.1%) | $20.5m (171.3%) | 2.3% (2.4%) | $0.99 (16.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (20.1%) | $52.2m (85.3%) | $28.3m (38.2%) | 3.6% (54.3%) | $1.84 (85.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.5b (3.4%) | $37.6m (-28.0%) | $48.3m (70.5%) | 2.5% (-30.4%) | $1.34 (-27.2%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (-8.0%) | $48.1m (28.1%) | $8.6m (-82.1%) | 3.5% (39.2%) | $1.78 (32.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.8b (25.9%) | $73.7m (53.2%) | $44.4m (415.2%) | 4.2% (21.7%) | $2.74 (53.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (15.1%) | $168.6m (128.7%) | $96.3m (116.7%) | 8.4% (98.7%) | $6.37 (132.5%) |
| 2023 | $1.7b (-17.5%) | $92.9m (-44.9%) | $-30.3m (-131.5%) | 5.6% (-33.2%) | $3.53 (-44.6%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (11.1%) | $129.9m (39.8%) | $-139.2m (-359.4%) | 7.0% (25.9%) | $4.94 (39.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (-15.6%) | $-99.9m (-176.9%) | $-41.1m (70.5%) | -6.4% (-191.1%) | $-3.79 (-176.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.