Discounted Cash Flow
UMH Properties, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6m | $11.5m | $29.4m | 727.9% | — |
| 2017 | $2.0m (26.7%) | $12.7m (9.8%) | $41.3m (40.8%) | 631.2% (-13.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $129.6m (6357.1%) | $-36.2m (-385.9%) | $40.2m (-2.8%) | -27.9% (-104.4%) | — |
| 2019 | $146.6m (13.1%) | $27.8m (176.6%) | $38.5m (-4.1%) | 18.9% (167.7%) | $0.70 |
| 2020 | $163.6m (11.6%) | $5.1m (-81.8%) | $5.1m (-86.9%) | 3.1% (-83.7%) | $0.12 (-82.9%) |
| 2021 | $186.1m (13.7%) | $51.1m (910.6%) | $65.2m (1189.1%) | 27.5% (788.5%) | $1.10 (816.7%) |
| 2022 | $195.8m (5.2%) | $-36.3m (-171.0%) | $-7.2m (-111.1%) | -18.5% (-167.5%) | $-0.67 (-160.9%) |
| 2023 | $220.9m (12.8%) | $-8.7m (76.0%) | $-8.7m (-20.6%) | -3.9% (78.7%) | $-0.15 (77.6%) |
| 2024 | $240.6m (8.9%) | $2.5m (128.4%) | $2.5m (128.4%) | 1.0% (126.1%) | $0.03 (120.0%) |
| 2025 | $261.8m (8.8%) | $6.0m (141.3%) | $6.0m (141.3%) | 2.3% (121.8%) | $0.07 (133.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.