Discounted Cash Flow
Urban Outfitters Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.5b | $218.1m | $271.2m | 6.2% | $1.87 |
| 2018 | $3.6b (2.0%) | $108.3m (-50.4%) | $219.2m (-19.2%) | 3.0% (-51.3%) | $0.97 (-48.1%) |
| 2019 | $4.0b (9.3%) | $298.0m (175.3%) | $331.7m (51.3%) | 7.5% (151.9%) | $2.75 (183.5%) |
| 2020 | $4.0b (0.8%) | $168.1m (-43.6%) | $56.5m (-83.0%) | 4.2% (-44.1%) | $1.68 (-38.9%) |
| 2021 | $3.4b (-13.4%) | $1.2m (-99.3%) | $126.6m (124.2%) | 0.0% (-99.2%) | $0.01 (-99.4%) |
| 2022 | $4.5b (31.9%) | $310.6m (25030.7%) | $96.9m (-23.5%) | 6.8% (18959.0%) | $3.17 (31600.0%) |
| 2023 | $4.8b (5.4%) | $159.7m (-48.6%) | $-56.8m (-158.6%) | 3.3% (-51.2%) | $1.71 (-46.1%) |
| 2024 | $5.2b (7.5%) | $287.7m (80.1%) | $309.8m (645.6%) | 5.6% (67.6%) | $3.10 (81.3%) |
| 2025 | $5.6b (7.7%) | $402.5m (39.9%) | $320.3m (3.4%) | 7.3% (29.9%) | $4.34 (40.0%) |
| 2026 | $6.2b (11.1%) | $464.9m (15.5%) | $315.0m (-1.6%) | 7.5% (4.0%) | $5.15 (18.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.