Discounted Cash Flow
Universal Technical Institute Inc.
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $347.1m | $-47.7m | $-111.0k | -13.7% | $-2.02 |
| 2017 | $324.3m (-6.6%) | $-8.1m (83.0%) | $-18.2m (-16267.6%) | -2.5% (81.8%) | $-0.54 (73.3%) |
| 2018 | $317.0m (-2.3%) | $-32.7m (-302.1%) | $-34.1m (-87.6%) | -10.3% (-311.3%) | $-1.51 (-179.6%) |
| 2019 | $331.5m (4.6%) | $-7.9m (75.9%) | $15.3m (144.9%) | -2.4% (77.0%) | $-0.52 (65.6%) |
| 2020 | $300.8m (-9.3%) | $8.0m (201.8%) | $1.8m (-88.4%) | 2.7% (212.2%) | $0.05 (109.6%) |
| 2021 | $335.1m (11.4%) | $14.6m (82.1%) | $-6.4m (-461.6%) | 4.4% (63.4%) | $0.17 (240.0%) |
| 2022 | $418.8m (25.0%) | $25.8m (77.3%) | $-33.4m (-422.2%) | 6.2% (41.8%) | $0.39 (129.4%) |
| 2023 | $607.4m (45.0%) | $12.3m (-52.3%) | $-7.5m (77.5%) | 2.0% (-67.1%) | $0.13 (-66.7%) |
| 2024 | $732.7m (20.6%) | $42.0m (240.9%) | $61.6m (917.3%) | 5.7% (182.6%) | $0.77 (492.3%) |
| 2025 | $835.6m (14.0%) | $63.0m (50.0%) | $55.4m (-10.1%) | 7.5% (31.6%) | $1.16 (50.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.