Discounted Cash Flow

Utz Brands, Inc.

UTZ · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $772.0m $-30.5m $2.7m -4.0%
2019 $768.2m (-0.5%) $8.0m (126.1%) $-20.4m (-851.4%) 1.0% (126.3%) $0.12
2021 $1.2b (53.7%) $20.6m (157.8%) $16.6m (181.8%) 1.7% (67.7%) $0.25 (108.3%)
2022 $1.2b (0.0%) $20.6m (0.0%) $16.5m (-1.2%) 1.7% (0.0%) $0.16 (-34.5%)
2023 $1.4b (19.3%) $-392.0k (-101.9%) $20.9m (26.9%) -0.0% (-101.6%) $0.17 (4.1%)
2024 $1.4b (0.1%) $16.0m (4175.0%) $7.6m (-63.8%) 1.1% (4172.5%) $-0.18 (-205.5%)
2025 $1.4b (2.1%) $800.0k (-95.0%) $9.4m (24.3%) 0.1% (-95.1%) $0.10 (154.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model