Discounted Cash Flow

Univest Financial Corp.

UVSP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $0 $19.5m $33.3m $0.85
2017 $0 $44.1m (126.1%) $68.7m (106.1%) $1.64 (92.9%)
2018 $0 $50.5m (14.6%) $86.0m (25.3%) $1.72 (4.9%)
2019 $0 $65.7m (30.0%) $73.1m (-15.0%) $2.24 (30.2%)
2020 $0 $46.9m (-28.6%) $51.2m (-30.0%) $1.60 (-28.6%)
2021 $0 $91.8m (95.7%) $102.3m (100.0%) $3.12 (95.0%)
2022 $218.3m $78.1m (-14.9%) $104.2m (1.9%) 35.8% $2.66 (-14.7%)
2023 $220.0m (0.8%) $71.1m (-9.0%) $83.0m (-20.4%) 32.3% (-9.7%) $2.42 (-9.0%)
2024 $299.2m (36.0%) $75.9m (6.8%) $72.0m (-13.3%) 25.4% (-21.5%) $2.60 (7.4%)
2025 $328.1m (9.6%) $90.8m (19.5%) $96.9m (34.6%) 27.7% (9.0%) $3.16 (21.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model