Discounted Cash Flow

Visa Inc.

V · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $15.1b $6.0b $5.6b 39.7% $16.50
2017 $18.4b (21.7%) $6.7b (11.8%) $9.2b (65.2%) 36.5% (-8.1%) $18.60 (12.7%)
2018 $20.6b (12.3%) $10.3b (53.8%) $12.7b (38.1%) 50.0% (37.0%) $29.38 (58.0%)
2019 $23.0b (11.5%) $12.1b (17.3%) $12.8b (0.6%) 52.6% (5.2%) $35.24 (19.9%)
2020 $21.8b (-4.9%) $10.9b (-10.0%) $10.4b (-18.3%) 49.7% (-5.4%) $32.38 (-8.1%)
2021 $24.1b (10.3%) $12.3b (13.3%) $15.2b (45.9%) 51.1% (2.7%) $37.27 (15.1%)
2022 $29.3b (21.6%) $15.0b (21.5%) $17.9b (17.4%) 51.0% (-0.1%) $46.31 (24.3%)
2023 $32.7b (11.4%) $17.3b (15.5%) $19.7b (10.2%) 52.9% (3.7%) $54.65 (18.0%)
2024 $35.9b (10.0%) $19.7b (14.3%) $18.7b (-5.1%) 55.0% (3.9%) $79.53 (45.5%)
2025 $40.0b (11.3%) $20.1b (1.6%) $21.6b (15.4%) 50.1% (-8.8%) $82.67 (3.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model