Discounted Cash Flow

Virco MFG Corporation

VIRC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $173.4m $22.8m $1.5m 13.1% $1.51
2018 $189.3m (9.2%) $-3.2m (-114.1%) $-4.5m (-411.3%) -1.7% (-112.9%) $-0.21 (-113.9%)
2019 $200.7m (6.0%) $-1.6m (49.7%) $-3.0m (33.0%) -0.8% (52.6%) $-0.10 (52.4%)
2020 $191.1m (-4.8%) $2.4m (247.6%) $5.5m (282.8%) 1.2% (255.0%) $0.15 (250.0%)
2021 $152.8m (-20.0%) $-2.2m (-193.7%) $5.6m (1.8%) -1.5% (-217.2%) $-0.14 (-193.3%)
2022 $184.8m (21.0%) $-15.1m (-578.1%) $-3.4m (-160.2%) -8.2% (-460.6%) $-0.95 (-578.6%)
2023 $231.1m (25.0%) $16.5m (209.3%) $-7.1m (-109.7%) 7.2% (187.4%) $1.03 (208.4%)
2024 $269.1m (16.5%) $21.9m (32.4%) $21.7m (404.9%) 8.1% (13.7%) $1.34 (30.1%)
2025 $266.2m (-1.1%) $21.6m (-1.2%) $26.8m (23.6%) 8.1% (-0.1%) $1.32 (-1.5%)
2026 $199.7m (-25.0%) $2.6m (-88.1%) $-6.7m (-125.0%) 1.3% (-84.2%) $0.16 (-87.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model