Discounted Cash Flow

Vista Energy, S.A.b. de C.v. ADR

VIST · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $198.1m $20.3m $44.6m 10.2% $0.15
2018
2019 $416.0m $-16.5m $130.1m -4.0% $-0.41
2020 $273.9m (-34.1%) $-112.9m (-584.4%) $93.4m (-28.2%) -41.2% (-939.2%) $-1.18 (-187.3%)
2021 $652.2m (138.1%) $152.8m (235.4%) $399.3m (327.4%) 23.4% (156.9%) $0.57 (148.9%)
2022 $1.1b (75.4%) $433.5m (183.8%) $660.5m (65.4%) 37.9% (61.8%) $3.07 (434.5%)
2023 $1.2b (2.2%) $545.4m (25.8%) $712.0m (7.8%) 46.7% (23.1%) $4.24 (38.1%)
2024 $1.6b (41.0%) $590.8m (8.3%) $859.2m (20.7%) 35.9% (-23.2%) $4.98 (17.5%)
2025 $2.5b (50.2%) $1.0b (70.0%) $790.8m (-8.0%) 40.6% (13.2%) $7.01 (40.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model