Discounted Cash Flow
Vital Farms, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $106.7m | $6.4m | $9.5m | 6.0% | — |
| 2019 | $140.7m (31.9%) | $4.4m (-30.4%) | $-10.2m (-207.0%) | 3.1% (-47.3%) | — |
| 2020 | $214.3m (52.3%) | $11.7m (163.8%) | $1.4m (113.8%) | 5.4% (73.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $260.9m (21.8%) | $354.0k (-97.0%) | $-386.0k (-127.5%) | 0.1% (-97.5%) | — |
| 2022 | $362.1m (38.8%) | $2.8m (699.7%) | $-18.6m (-4709.8%) | 0.8% (476.3%) | — |
| 2023 | $471.9m (30.3%) | $32.2m (1037.4%) | $39.4m (312.0%) | 6.8% (772.7%) | — |
| 2024 | $606.3m (28.5%) | $67.5m (109.7%) | $36.2m (-8.1%) | 11.1% (63.2%) | — |
| 2025 | $759.4m (25.3%) | $91.3m (35.1%) | $-48.2m (-233.3%) | 12.0% (7.9%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.