Discounted Cash Flow
Valero Energy Corp./Tx
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $75.7b | $2.3b | $3.5b | 3.0% | $4.94 |
| 2017 | $94.0b (24.2%) | $4.1b (77.6%) | $4.1b (16.6%) | 4.3% (43.0%) | $9.17 (85.6%) |
| 2018 | $117.0b (24.5%) | $3.1b (-23.2%) | $2.7b (-33.6%) | 2.7% (-38.3%) | $7.30 (-20.4%) |
| 2019 | $108.3b (-7.4%) | $2.4b (-22.4%) | $5.2b (88.3%) | 2.2% (-16.2%) | $5.84 (-20.0%) |
| 2020 | $64.9b (-40.1%) | $-1.4b (-158.7%) | $-840.0m (-116.3%) | -2.2% (-197.9%) | $-3.50 (-159.9%) |
| 2021 | $114.0b (75.6%) | $930.0m (165.4%) | $4.2b (599.3%) | 0.8% (137.3%) | $2.27 (164.9%) |
| 2022 | $176.4b (54.8%) | $11.5b (1139.6%) | $10.9b (159.7%) | 6.5% (701.0%) | $29.05 (1179.7%) |
| 2023 | $144.8b (-17.9%) | $8.8b (-23.4%) | $8.3b (-23.6%) | 6.1% (-6.6%) | $24.93 (-14.2%) |
| 2024 | $129.9b (-10.3%) | $2.8b (-68.6%) | $5.8b (-30.6%) | 2.1% (-65.1%) | $8.58 (-65.6%) |
| 2025 | $122.7b (-5.5%) | $2.3b (-15.2%) | $5.0b (-12.9%) | 1.9% (-10.3%) | $7.57 (-11.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.