Discounted Cash Flow
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion, S.A.b. de C.v. ADR
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Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $23.5b | $5.0b | $961.7m | 21.2% | $3.48 |
| 2017 | $24.8b (5.7%) | $-38.3m (-100.8%) | $985.4m (2.5%) | -0.2% (-100.7%) | $-0.03 (-100.9%) |
| 2018 | $27.3b (9.9%) | $-46.8m (-22.1%) | $562.9m (-42.9%) | -0.2% (-11.1%) | $-0.03 (-13.3%) |
| 2019 | $34.8b (27.3%) | $198.1m (523.6%) | $9.5b (1588.7%) | 0.6% (432.8%) | $0.14 (505.9%) |
| 2020 | $22.2b (-36.2%) | $-285.7m (-244.2%) | $-285.7m (-103.0%) | -1.3% (-326.2%) | $-0.21 (-252.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.2b (-90.2%) | $131.9m (146.2%) | $766.6m (368.3%) | 6.1% (571.4%) | $0.09 (141.7%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (31.2%) | $-132.4m (-200.4%) | $608.4m (-20.6%) | -4.6% (-176.5%) | $-0.07 (-178.4%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (14.5%) | $7.4m (105.6%) | $725.8m (19.3%) | 0.2% (104.9%) | $0.01 (110.1%) |
| 2024 | $3.1b (-3.6%) | $182.7m (2354.8%) | $1.1b (49.4%) | 5.8% (2446.3%) | $0.11 (1471.4%) |
| 2025 | $3.0b (-3.3%) | $13.1m (-92.9%) | $434.0m (-60.0%) | 0.4% (-92.6%) | $-0.09 (-181.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.