Discounted Cash Flow

Vulcan Materials Co.

VMC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.6b $419.5m $294.4m 11.7% $3.15
2017 $3.9b (8.3%) $601.2m (43.3%) $185.1m (-37.1%) 15.5% (32.3%) $4.54 (44.1%)
2018 $4.4b (12.7%) $515.8m (-14.2%) $363.7m (96.5%) 11.8% (-23.8%) $3.90 (-14.1%)
2019 $4.9b (12.5%) $617.7m (19.7%) $600.0m (65.0%) 12.5% (6.5%) $4.67 (19.7%)
2020 $4.9b (-1.5%) $584.5m (-5.4%) $708.2m (18.0%) 12.0% (-4.0%) $4.41 (-5.6%)
2021 $5.6b (14.3%) $670.8m (14.8%) $560.6m (-20.8%) 12.1% (0.4%) $5.05 (14.5%)
2022 $7.3b (31.8%) $575.6m (-14.2%) $535.6m (-4.5%) 7.9% (-34.9%) $4.33 (-14.3%)
2023 $7.8b (6.4%) $933.2m (62.1%) $664.2m (24.0%) 12.0% (52.4%) $7.02 (62.1%)
2024 $7.4b (-4.7%) $911.9m (-2.3%) $806.1m (21.4%) 12.3% (2.5%) $6.89 (-1.9%)
2025 $7.9b (7.1%) $1.1b (18.1%) $1.1b (40.8%) 13.6% (10.3%) $8.16 (18.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model