Discounted Cash Flow

Verra Mobility Corp.

VRRM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $230.7m $29.0m $42.0m 12.6% $-1.00
2017 $0 (-100.0%) $1.4m (-95.1%) $-397.6m (-1047.1%)
2018 $370.1m $-58.4m (-4199.3%) $19.4m (104.9%) -15.8% $-0.67
2019 $448.7m (21.2%) $33.3m (157.1%) $104.1m (435.6%) 7.4% (147.1%) $0.21 (131.3%)
2020 $393.6m (-12.3%) $-4.6m (-113.7%) $22.6m (-78.2%) -1.2% (-115.7%) $-0.03 (-114.3%)
2021 $550.6m (39.9%) $41.4m (1005.4%) $168.2m (642.5%) 7.5% (747.2%) $0.26 (966.7%)
2022 $741.6m (34.7%) $92.5m (123.1%) $170.2m (1.2%) 12.5% (65.6%) $0.61 (134.6%)
2023 $817.3m (10.2%) $57.0m (-38.3%) $149.1m (-12.4%) 7.0% (-44.1%) $0.36 (-41.0%)
2024 $879.2m (7.6%) $31.4m (-44.8%) $152.8m (2.5%) 3.6% (-48.7%) $0.19 (-47.2%)
2025 $979.1m (11.4%) $136.6m (334.5%) $136.7m (-10.5%) 14.0% (290.2%) $0.86 (352.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model