Discounted Cash Flow
VSE Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $691.8m | $26.8m | $40.6m | 3.9% | $2.48 |
| 2017 | $760.1m (9.9%) | $39.1m (45.9%) | $46.7m (14.8%) | 5.1% (32.8%) | $3.61 (45.6%) |
| 2018 | $697.2m (-8.3%) | $35.1m (-10.3%) | $15.7m (-66.3%) | 5.0% (-2.2%) | $3.23 (-10.5%) |
| 2019 | $752.6m (7.9%) | $37.0m (5.5%) | $8.4m (-46.9%) | 4.9% (-2.2%) | $3.38 (4.6%) |
| 2020 | $661.7m (-12.1%) | $-5.2m (-114.0%) | $31.3m (274.6%) | -0.8% (-115.9%) | $-0.47 (-113.9%) |
| 2021 | $750.9m (13.5%) | $8.0m (254.1%) | $-28.1m (-189.7%) | 1.1% (235.8%) | $0.63 (234.0%) |
| 2022 | $949.8m (26.5%) | $28.1m (252.2%) | $-3.2m (88.8%) | 3.0% (178.5%) | $2.20 (249.2%) |
| 2023 | $860.5m (-9.4%) | $39.1m (39.5%) | $-40.5m (-1181.1%) | 4.5% (53.9%) | $2.77 (25.9%) |
| 2024 | $1.1b (25.5%) | $15.3m (-60.8%) | $-51.7m (-27.8%) | 1.4% (-68.8%) | $0.86 (-69.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.1b (3.0%) | $11.7m (-23.6%) | $5.7m (111.0%) | 1.1% (-25.8%) | $0.55 (-36.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.