Discounted Cash Flow
Ventas, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.4b | $649.2m | $1.3b | 18.9% | $1.88 |
| 2017 | $3.6b (3.8%) | $1.4b (108.9%) | $1.3b (4.8%) | 38.0% (101.3%) | $3.82 (103.2%) |
| 2018 | $3.7b (4.8%) | $409.5m (-69.8%) | $1.2b (-4.6%) | 10.9% (-71.2%) | $1.15 (-69.9%) |
| 2019 | $3.9b (3.4%) | $433.0m (5.8%) | $1.3b (2.5%) | 11.2% (2.3%) | $1.18 (2.6%) |
| 2020 | $3.8b (-2.0%) | $439.1m (1.4%) | $842.9m (-34.2%) | 11.6% (3.5%) | $1.18 (0.0%) |
| 2021 | $3.8b (0.9%) | $49.0m (-88.8%) | $49.0m (-94.2%) | 1.3% (-88.9%) | $0.13 (-89.0%) |
| 2022 | $4.1b (7.9%) | $-47.4m (-196.8%) | $-47.4m (-196.8%) | -1.1% (-189.8%) | $-0.12 (-192.3%) |
| 2023 | $4.5b (8.9%) | $-41.0m (13.6%) | $476.9m (1105.1%) | -0.9% (20.7%) | $-0.10 (16.7%) |
| 2024 | $4.9b (9.5%) | $81.2m (298.1%) | $725.8m (52.2%) | 1.6% (280.9%) | $0.20 (300.0%) |
| 2025 | $5.8b (18.5%) | $251.4m (209.8%) | $1.0b (38.1%) | 4.3% (161.5%) | $0.55 (175.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.