Discounted Cash Flow
Valvoline Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.9b | $273.0m | $245.0m | 14.2% | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $2.1b (8.7%) | $304.0m (11.4%) | $-198.0m (-180.8%) | 14.5% (2.4%) | $1.49 |
| 2018 | $2.3b (9.0%) | $166.0m (-45.4%) | $227.0m (214.6%) | 7.3% (-49.9%) | $0.84 (-43.6%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (4.6%) | $208.0m (25.3%) | $217.0m (-4.4%) | 8.7% (19.8%) | $1.10 (31.0%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (-1.5%) | $317.0m (52.4%) | $221.0m (1.8%) | 13.5% (54.8%) | $1.70 (54.5%) |
| 2021 | $3.0b (26.7%) | $420.0m (32.5%) | $260.0m (17.6%) | 14.1% (4.6%) | $2.30 (35.3%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (-58.5%) | $424.3m (1.0%) | $152.2m (-41.5%) | 34.3% (143.6%) | $2.37 (3.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (16.8%) | $1.4b (234.6%) | $-221.3m (-245.4%) | 98.4% (186.5%) | $8.79 (270.9%) |
| 2024 | $1.6b (12.2%) | $211.5m (-85.1%) | $40.7m (118.4%) | 13.1% (-86.7%) | $1.63 (-81.5%) |
| 2025 | $1.7b (5.6%) | $210.7m (-0.4%) | $38.0m (-6.6%) | 12.3% (-5.7%) | $1.65 (1.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.