Discounted Cash Flow

Wayfair Inc.

W · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_1_profitable_out_of_10

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.4b $-194.4m $-33.9m -5.8%
2017 $4.7b (39.7%) $-244.6m (-25.8%) $-66.8m (-97.1%) -5.2% (9.9%)
2018 $6.8b (43.6%) $-504.1m (-106.1%) $-74.3m (-11.3%) -7.4% (-43.5%) $-5.63
2019 $9.1b (34.6%) $-984.6m (-95.3%) $-468.6m (-530.3%) -10.8% (-45.1%) $-10.68 (-89.7%)
2020 $14.1b (55.0%) $185.0m (118.8%) $1.2b (362.7%) 1.3% (112.1%) $1.93 (118.1%)
2021 $13.7b (-3.1%) $-131.0m (-170.8%) $309.0m (-74.9%) -1.0% (-173.1%) $-1.26 (-165.3%)
2022 $12.2b (-10.9%) $-1.3b (-916.0%) $-860.0m (-378.3%) -10.9% (-1039.9%) $-12.54 (-895.2%)
2023 $12.0b (-1.8%) $-738.0m (44.6%) $201.0m (123.4%) -6.1% (43.6%) $-6.47 (48.4%)
2024 $11.9b (-1.3%) $-492.0m (33.3%) $244.0m (21.4%) -4.2% (32.5%) $-4.01 (38.0%)
2025 $12.5b (5.1%) $-313.0m (36.4%) $464.0m (90.2%) -2.5% (39.5%) $-2.44 (39.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_1_profitable_out_of_10

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.