Discounted Cash Flow

Waters Corp. /De/

WAT · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.2b $521.5m $-1.8b 24.1% $6.46
2017 $2.3b (6.5%) $20.3m (-96.1%) $-2.3b (-28.1%) 0.9% (-96.3%) $0.25 (-96.1%)
2018 $2.4b (4.8%) $593.8m (2823.5%) $-401.6m (82.3%) 24.5% (2689.6%) $7.71 (2984.0%)
2019 $2.4b (-0.6%) $592.2m (-0.3%) $606.1m (250.9%) 24.6% (0.3%) $8.76 (13.6%)
2020 $2.4b (-1.7%) $521.6m (-11.9%) $764.6m (26.1%) 22.1% (-10.4%) $8.40 (-4.1%)
2021 $2.8b (17.8%) $692.8m (32.8%) $467.6m (-38.8%) 24.9% (12.8%) $11.25 (33.9%)
2022 $3.0b (6.7%) $707.8m (2.2%) $600.3m (28.4%) 23.8% (-4.2%) $11.80 (4.9%)
2023 $3.0b (-0.5%) $642.2m (-9.3%) $601.0m (0.1%) 21.7% (-8.8%) $10.87 (-7.9%)
2024 $3.0b (0.1%) $637.8m (-0.7%) $758.4m (26.2%) 21.6% (-0.8%) $10.75 (-1.1%)
2025 $3.2b (7.0%) $642.6m (0.8%) $652.6m (-14.0%) 20.3% (-5.8%) $10.80 (0.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model