Discounted Cash Flow
Waste Connections, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.4b | $246.5m | $450.6m | 7.3% | $1.61 |
| 2017 | $4.6b (37.2%) | $576.8m (134.0%) | $708.0m (57.1%) | 12.5% (70.6%) | $2.19 (36.0%) |
| 2018 | $4.9b (6.3%) | $546.9m (-5.2%) | $865.1m (22.2%) | 11.1% (-10.8%) | $2.07 (-5.5%) |
| 2019 | $5.4b (9.5%) | $566.8m (3.7%) | $906.1m (4.7%) | 10.5% (-5.3%) | $2.15 (3.9%) |
| 2020 | $5.4b (1.1%) | $204.7m (-63.9%) | $811.5m (-10.4%) | 3.8% (-64.3%) | $0.78 (-63.7%) |
| 2021 | $6.2b (13.0%) | $618.0m (202.0%) | $953.9m (17.6%) | 10.0% (167.3%) | $2.37 (203.8%) |
| 2022 | $7.2b (17.2%) | $835.7m (35.2%) | $1.1b (16.3%) | 11.6% (15.3%) | $3.25 (37.1%) |
| 2023 | $8.0b (11.2%) | $762.8m (-8.7%) | $1.2b (7.5%) | 9.5% (-17.9%) | $2.96 (-8.9%) |
| 2024 | $8.9b (11.2%) | $617.6m (-19.0%) | $1.2b (-1.7%) | 6.9% (-27.2%) | $2.39 (-19.3%) |
| 2025 | $9.5b (6.1%) | $1.1b (74.3%) | $1.2b (5.3%) | 11.4% (64.2%) | $4.18 (74.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.