Discounted Cash Flow
Welltower Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.3b | $1.0b | $1.6b | 23.6% | $2.83 |
| 2017 | $4.3b (0.8%) | $463.6m (-54.2%) | $1.4b (-11.9%) | 10.7% (-54.6%) | $1.26 (-55.5%) |
| 2018 | $4.7b (8.9%) | $758.2m (63.6%) | $1.6b (10.4%) | 16.1% (50.2%) | $2.03 (61.1%) |
| 2019 | $5.1b (9.0%) | $1.2b (62.5%) | $1.5b (-3.0%) | 24.1% (49.2%) | $3.07 (51.2%) |
| 2020 | $4.6b (-10.1%) | $978.8m (-20.6%) | $1.4b (-11.1%) | 21.3% (-11.7%) | $2.36 (-23.1%) |
| 2021 | $4.7b (3.0%) | $336.1m (-65.7%) | $1.3b (-6.6%) | 7.1% (-66.6%) | $0.79 (-66.5%) |
| 2022 | $5.9b (23.6%) | $141.2m (-58.0%) | $1.3b (1.8%) | 2.4% (-66.0%) | $0.31 (-60.8%) |
| 2023 | $4.8b (-18.9%) | $340.1m (140.8%) | $1.6b (19.5%) | 7.2% (196.9%) | $0.66 (112.9%) |
| 2024 | $6.0b (26.8%) | $951.7m (179.8%) | $2.2b (41.7%) | 15.8% (120.7%) | $1.58 (139.4%) |
| 2025 | $8.5b (40.2%) | $936.8m (-1.6%) | $2.8b (29.5%) | 11.1% (-29.8%) | $1.41 (-10.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.