Discounted Cash Flow

Wendy's Co.

WEN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.9b $161.1m $62.5m 8.6% $0.50
2017 $1.2b (-34.6%) $194.0m (20.4%) $251.3m (302.3%) 15.9% (84.1%) $0.79 (58.0%)
2018 $1.6b (30.0%) $460.1m (137.1%) $154.4m (-38.6%) 28.9% (82.5%) $1.93 (144.3%)
2019 $1.7b (7.5%) $136.9m (-70.2%) $214.5m (38.9%) 8.0% (-72.3%) $0.60 (-68.9%)
2020 $1.7b (1.5%) $117.8m (-14.0%) $215.4m (0.4%) 6.8% (-15.2%) $0.53 (-11.7%)
2021 $1.9b (9.4%) $200.4m (70.1%) $267.8m (24.3%) 10.6% (55.4%) $0.91 (71.7%)
2022 $1.9b (0.0%) $200.4m (0.0%) $174.4m (-34.9%) 10.6% (0.0%) $0.91 (0.0%)
2023 $2.2b (15.0%) $204.4m (2.0%) $260.4m (49.3%) 9.4% (-11.3%) $0.98 (7.7%)
2024 $2.2b (3.0%) $194.4m (-4.9%) $260.9m (0.2%) 8.7% (-7.7%) $0.95 (-3.1%)
2025 $2.2b (-3.1%) $165.1m (-15.1%) $242.6m (-7.0%) 7.6% (-12.4%) $0.85 (-10.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model