Discounted Cash Flow
Wingstop Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $91.4m | $15.4m | $20.1m | 16.9% | $0.54 |
| 2017 | $105.6m (15.5%) | $27.3m (76.9%) | $24.5m (21.9%) | 25.9% (53.1%) | $0.94 (74.1%) |
| 2018 | $153.2m (45.1%) | $21.7m (-20.5%) | $34.8m (41.9%) | 14.2% (-45.2%) | $0.74 (-21.3%) |
| 2019 | $199.7m (30.4%) | $20.5m (-5.7%) | $16.1m (-53.7%) | 10.3% (-27.7%) | $0.70 (-5.4%) |
| 2020 | $248.8m (24.6%) | $23.3m (13.8%) | $59.5m (269.5%) | 9.4% (-8.7%) | $0.79 (12.9%) |
| 2021 | $282.5m (13.5%) | $42.7m (83.0%) | $20.9m (-64.9%) | 15.1% (61.2%) | $1.43 (81.0%) |
| 2022 | $357.5m (26.6%) | $52.9m (24.1%) | $52.3m (150.7%) | 14.8% (-1.9%) | $1.77 (23.8%) |
| 2023 | $460.1m (28.7%) | $70.2m (32.5%) | $80.8m (54.4%) | 15.3% (3.0%) | $2.36 (33.3%) |
| 2024 | $625.8m (36.0%) | $108.7m (54.9%) | $105.7m (30.8%) | 17.4% (13.9%) | $3.72 (57.6%) |
| 2025 | $696.9m (11.4%) | $174.3m (60.3%) | $105.6m (-0.1%) | 25.0% (44.0%) | $6.23 (67.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.