Discounted Cash Flow
Willis Lease Finance Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $207.3m | $14.1m | $99.9m | 6.8% | $2.10 |
| 2017 | $274.8m (32.6%) | $62.2m (341.8%) | $124.5m (24.6%) | 22.6% (233.2%) | $9.93 (372.9%) |
| 2018 | $348.3m (26.7%) | $43.2m (-30.4%) | $185.2m (48.8%) | 12.4% (-45.1%) | $6.75 (-32.0%) |
| 2019 | $409.2m (17.5%) | $66.9m (54.8%) | $224.0m (20.9%) | 16.4% (31.8%) | $10.90 (61.5%) |
| 2020 | $288.7m (-29.4%) | $9.7m (-85.4%) | $90.5m (-59.6%) | 3.4% (-79.4%) | $1.07 (-90.2%) |
| 2021 | $274.2m (-5.0%) | $3.4m (-65.6%) | $3.4m (-96.3%) | 1.2% (-63.8%) | $0.00 (-100.0%) |
| 2022 | $311.9m (13.8%) | $5.4m (62.3%) | $5.4m (62.3%) | 1.7% (42.6%) | $0.35 |
| 2023 | $418.6m (34.2%) | $43.8m (704.9%) | $224.6m (4029.4%) | 10.5% (499.9%) | $6.40 (1728.6%) |
| 2024 | $569.2m (36.0%) | $108.6m (148.1%) | $268.8m (19.7%) | 19.1% (82.4%) | $15.97 (149.5%) |
| 2025 | $730.2m (28.3%) | $113.8m (4.7%) | $252.2m (-6.2%) | 15.6% (-18.4%) | $16.00 (0.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.