Discounted Cash Flow

Weis Markets Inc.

WMK · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.1b $87.2m $9.4m 2.8% $1.20
2017 $3.5b (10.5%) $98.4m (12.9%) $70.0m (640.4%) 2.8% (2.2%) $1.20 (0.0%)
2018 $3.5b (1.2%) $62.7m (-36.3%) $52.7m (-24.7%) 1.8% (-37.0%) $1.21 (0.8%)
2019 $3.5b (1.0%) $68.0m (8.4%) $70.2m (33.3%) 1.9% (7.3%) $2.53 (109.1%)
2020 $4.1b (16.1%) $118.9m (74.9%) $147.0m (109.3%) 2.9% (50.7%) $4.42 (74.7%)
2021 $4.2b (2.7%) $108.8m (-8.5%) $75.9m (-48.4%) 2.6% (-10.9%) $4.05 (-8.4%)
2022 $4.7b (11.2%) $125.2m (15.0%) $95.9m (26.3%) 2.7% (3.5%) $4.65 (14.8%)
2023 $4.7b (0.0%) $103.8m (-17.1%) $97.6m (1.8%) 2.2% (-17.1%) $3.86 (-17.0%)
2024 $4.8b (2.0%) $109.9m (5.9%) $26.1m (-73.2%) 2.3% (3.8%) $4.09 (6.0%)
2025 $5.0b (3.5%) $93.7m (-14.8%) $4.8m (-81.5%) 1.9% (-17.6%) $3.65 (-10.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model