Discounted Cash Flow
Watsco Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.2b | $182.8m | $234.2m | 4.3% | $5.16 |
| 2017 | $4.3b (2.9%) | $208.2m (13.9%) | $288.6m (23.3%) | 4.8% (10.7%) | $5.81 (12.6%) |
| 2018 | $4.5b (4.7%) | $242.9m (16.7%) | $153.4m (-46.9%) | 5.3% (11.4%) | $6.50 (11.9%) |
| 2019 | $4.8b (4.9%) | $245.9m (1.2%) | $318.0m (107.3%) | 5.2% (-3.5%) | $6.51 (0.2%) |
| 2020 | $5.1b (6.0%) | $269.6m (9.6%) | $517.9m (62.9%) | 5.3% (3.4%) | $7.03 (8.0%) |
| 2021 | $6.3b (24.2%) | $418.9m (55.4%) | $324.1m (-37.4%) | 6.7% (25.1%) | $10.83 (54.1%) |
| 2022 | $7.3b (15.8%) | $601.2m (43.5%) | $536.3m (65.5%) | 8.3% (23.9%) | $15.46 (42.8%) |
| 2023 | $7.3b (0.1%) | $536.3m (-10.8%) | $526.5m (-1.8%) | 7.4% (-10.9%) | $13.72 (-11.3%) |
| 2024 | $7.6b (4.6%) | $536.3m (-0.0%) | $743.0m (41.1%) | 7.0% (-4.4%) | $13.34 (-2.8%) |
| 2025 | $7.2b (-5.0%) | $497.0m (-7.3%) | $535.1m (-28.0%) | 6.9% (-2.5%) | $12.27 (-8.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.