Discounted Cash Flow
Xchange Tec.Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $889.9m | $-94.3m | $-17.4m | -10.6% | — |
| 2019 | $172.6m (-80.6%) | $-119.6m (-26.8%) | $-20.2m (-16.2%) | -69.3% (-553.7%) | — |
| 2020 | $177.9m (3.1%) | $-227.7m (-90.4%) | $6.0m (129.6%) | -128.0% (-84.7%) | — |
| 2021 | $160.8m (-9.6%) | $-84.5m (62.9%) | $-16.3m (-372.6%) | -52.5% (58.9%) | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $91.7m (-43.0%) | $121.7m (244.1%) | $-5.9m (63.9%) | 132.8% (352.7%) | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $4.0k (-100.0%) | $-10.6m (-108.7%) | $-5.9m (-0.7%) | -264692.5% (-199472.9%) | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $41.1m (1027200.0%) | $-33.7m (-218.1%) | $-1.5m (75.5%) | -82.0% (100.0%) | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $51.3m (24.9%) | $-111.1m (-230.0%) | $-1.7m (-19.7%) | -216.6% (-164.3%) | $0.00 |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.