Discounted Cash Flow
Exxon Mobil Corp.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $218.6b | $7.8b | $5.9b | 3.6% | $1.88 |
| 2017 | $237.2b (8.5%) | $19.7b (151.4%) | $14.7b (147.7%) | 8.3% (131.7%) | $4.63 (146.3%) |
| 2018 | $279.3b (17.8%) | $20.8b (5.7%) | $16.4b (12.1%) | 7.5% (-10.2%) | $4.88 (5.4%) |
| 2019 | $255.6b (-8.5%) | $14.3b (-31.2%) | $5.4b (-67.4%) | 5.6% (-24.8%) | $3.36 (-31.1%) |
| 2020 | $178.6b (-30.1%) | $-22.4b (-256.5%) | $-2.6b (-148.8%) | -12.6% (-324.0%) | $-5.25 (-256.2%) |
| 2021 | $276.7b (54.9%) | $23.0b (202.7%) | $36.1b (1479.2%) | 8.3% (166.3%) | $5.39 (202.7%) |
| 2022 | $413.7b (49.5%) | $55.7b (141.9%) | $58.4b (62.0%) | 13.5% (61.8%) | $13.26 (146.0%) |
| 2023 | $344.6b (-16.7%) | $36.0b (-35.4%) | $33.5b (-42.7%) | 10.5% (-22.4%) | $8.89 (-33.0%) |
| 2024 | $349.6b (1.5%) | $33.7b (-6.5%) | $30.7b (-8.2%) | 9.6% (-7.8%) | $7.84 (-11.8%) |
| 2025 | $332.2b (-5.0%) | $28.8b (-14.4%) | $23.6b (-23.1%) | 8.7% (-9.9%) | $6.70 (-14.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.