Discounted Cash Flow

Xpel, Inc.

XPEL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $109.9m $8.7m $6.1m 7.9% $0.32
2019 $129.9m (18.2%) $14.0m (60.4%) $10.0m (65.8%) 10.8% (35.7%) $0.51 (58.4%)
2020 $158.9m (22.3%) $18.3m (30.8%) $17.2m (71.1%) 11.5% (6.9%) $0.66 (30.6%)
2021 $259.3m (63.1%) $31.6m (72.7%) $16.4m (-4.7%) 12.2% (5.8%) $1.14 (72.7%)
2022 $324.0m (25.0%) $41.4m (31.1%) $8.6m (-47.4%) 12.8% (4.9%) $1.50 (31.1%)
2023 $396.3m (22.3%) $52.8m (27.6%) $32.9m (280.9%) 13.3% (4.3%) $1.91 (27.6%)
2024 $420.4m (6.1%) $45.5m (-13.8%) $42.0m (27.9%) 10.8% (-18.8%) $1.65 (-13.9%)
2025 $476.2m (13.3%) $51.2m (12.6%) $60.7m (44.4%) 10.8% (-0.6%) $1.87 (13.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model