Discounted Cash Flow
Xpeng Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | $9.7m | $-333.7m | $-346.8m | -3438.2% | $-6.83 |
| 2019 | $2.3b (23815.3%) | $-687.1m (-105.9%) | $-798.3m (-130.2%) | -29.6% (99.1%) | $-13.29 (-94.6%) |
| 2020 | $895.7m (-61.4%) | $-110.9m (83.9%) | $-39.0m (95.1%) | -12.4% (58.2%) | $-6.48 (51.2%) |
| 2021 | $21.0b (2243.3%) | $-719.7m (-548.9%) | $-502.3m (-1189.1%) | -3.4% (72.3%) | $-2.96 (54.3%) |
| 2022 | $26.9b (28.0%) | $-1.4b (-87.9%) | $-1.9b (-268.5%) | -5.0% (-46.9%) | $-5.34 (-80.4%) |
| 2023 | $30.7b (14.2%) | $-1.5b (-13.5%) | $-168.7m (90.9%) | -5.0% (0.6%) | $-5.96 (-11.6%) |
| 2024 | $40.9b (33.2%) | $-856.9m (44.2%) | $-627.3m (-271.7%) | -2.1% (58.1%) | $3.06 (151.3%) |
| 2025 | $76.7b (87.7%) | $-168.6m (80.3%) | $755.2m (220.4%) | -0.2% (89.5%) | $-0.60 (-119.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.