Discounted Cash Flow
XPO Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $14.6b | $69.0m | $142.0m | 0.5% | $0.57 |
| 2017 | $15.4b (5.2%) | $340.2m (393.0%) | $294.8m (107.6%) | 2.2% (368.6%) | $2.72 (377.2%) |
| 2018 | $17.3b (12.3%) | $422.0m (24.0%) | $551.0m (86.9%) | 2.4% (10.4%) | $3.17 (16.5%) |
| 2019 | $16.6b (-3.7%) | $419.0m (-0.7%) | $190.0m (-65.5%) | 2.5% (3.1%) | $3.95 (24.6%) |
| 2020 | $16.3b (-2.4%) | $110.0m (-73.7%) | $359.0m (88.9%) | 0.7% (-73.1%) | $0.87 (-78.0%) |
| 2021 | $12.8b (-21.2%) | $336.0m (205.5%) | $343.0m (-4.5%) | 2.6% (287.7%) | $2.99 (243.7%) |
| 2022 | $7.7b (-39.7%) | $666.0m (98.2%) | $303.0m (-11.7%) | 8.6% (228.9%) | $5.79 (93.6%) |
| 2023 | $7.7b (0.3%) | $189.0m (-71.6%) | $-839.0m (-376.9%) | 2.4% (-71.7%) | $1.64 (-71.7%) |
| 2024 | $8.1b (4.2%) | $387.0m (104.8%) | $19.0m (102.3%) | 4.8% (96.4%) | $3.33 (103.0%) |
| 2025 | $8.2b (1.1%) | $316.0m (-18.3%) | $329.0m (1631.6%) | 3.9% (-19.2%) | $2.69 (-19.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.