Discounted Cash Flow

Xponential Fitness, Inc.

XPOF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_1_profitable_out_of_last_5

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $129.1m $-37.1m $-5.7m -28.8%
2020 $106.6m (-17.5%) $-13.6m (63.3%) $-2.6m (54.1%) -12.8% (55.5%)
2021 $155.1m (45.5%) $-18.8m (-38.0%) $10.8m (514.6%) -12.1% (5.1%)
2022 $245.0m (58.0%) $1.9m (110.3%) $42.7m (295.0%) 0.8% (106.5%)
2023 $318.7m (30.1%) $-903.0k (-146.8%) $28.0m (-34.5%) -0.3% (-136.0%)
2024 $320.3m (0.5%) $-67.7m (-7392.6%) $7.0m (-75.1%) -21.1% (-7353.1%)
2025 $314.9m (-1.7%) $-38.7m (42.8%) $24.7m (255.2%) -12.3% (41.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_1_profitable_out_of_last_5

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.