Discounted Cash Flow
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $2.5b | $-1.0k | $-138.3m | -0.0% | $-0.46 |
| 2020 | $2.6b (4.4%) | $-1.2k (-14.3%) | $77.2m (155.8%) | -0.0% (-9.5%) | $-1.05 (-128.3%) |
| 2021 | $730.8m (-71.7%) | $-11.8k (-900.0%) | $-37.7m (-148.8%) | -0.0% (-3431.6%) | $-0.31 (70.5%) |
| 2022 | $6.7b (821.4%) | $79.8k (773.8%) | $-3.4m (91.0%) | 0.0% (173.1%) | $0.00 (100.0%) |
| 2023 | $8.4b (25.3%) | $-185.3k (-332.3%) | $331.7m (9834.7%) | -0.0% (-285.4%) | $0.01 |
| 2024 | $11.2b (33.2%) | $-525.1k (-183.4%) | $436.8m (31.7%) | -0.0% (-112.7%) | $0.02 (100.0%) |
| 2025 | $12.5b (11.1%) | $-4.1m (-673.8%) | $676.9m (55.0%) | -0.0% (-596.3%) | $0.03 (50.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.