Discounted Cash Flow

YPF Sociedad Anonima ADR

YPF · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — only_5_profitable_out_of_10

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $210.1b $-28.2b $4.4b -13.4%
2017 $252.8b (20.3%) $12.3b (143.7%) $18.5b (316.7%) 4.9% (136.3%)
2018 $435.8b (72.4%) $38.6b (212.9%) $37.5b (103.1%) 8.9% (81.5%)
2019 $678.6b (55.7%) $-34.1b (-188.2%) $71.2b (90.0%) -5.0% (-156.7%)
2020 $669.2b (-1.4%) $-69.6b (-104.4%) $37.8b (-47.0%) -10.4% (-107.3%)
2021 $1.3t (90.0%) $257.0m (100.4%) $132.3b (250.4%) 0.0% (100.2%)
2022 $18.8b (-98.5%) $2.2b (766.9%) $1.7b (-98.7%) 11.9% (58659.3%)
2023 $17.3b (-7.7%) $-1.3b (-158.9%) $240.0m (-85.8%) -7.6% (-163.8%) $-3.35
2024 $19.3b (11.4%) $2.3b (279.0%) $477.0m (98.8%) 12.2% (260.6%) $5.99 (278.8%)
2025 $18.4b (-4.4%) $-826.0m (-135.2%) $-118.0m (-124.7%) -4.5% (-136.8%) $-2.11 (-135.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

only_5_profitable_out_of_10

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.