Discounted Cash Flow
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.8b | $502.0m | $428.0m | 7.4% | $1.36 |
| 2017 | $7.1b (5.8%) | $403.0m (-19.7%) | $469.0m (9.6%) | 5.6% (-24.1%) | $1.04 (-23.5%) |
| 2018 | $8.4b (17.8%) | $708.0m (75.7%) | $863.0m (84.0%) | 8.4% (49.1%) | $1.84 (76.9%) |
| 2019 | $8.8b (4.3%) | $713.0m (0.7%) | $750.0m (-13.1%) | 8.1% (-3.4%) | $1.89 (2.7%) |
| 2020 | $8.3b (-5.8%) | $784.0m (10.0%) | $695.0m (-7.3%) | 9.5% (16.8%) | $2.01 (6.3%) |
| 2021 | $9.9b (19.2%) | $990.0m (26.3%) | $442.0m (-36.4%) | 10.0% (5.9%) | $2.34 (16.4%) |
| 2022 | $9.6b (-2.9%) | $442.0m (-55.4%) | $734.0m (66.1%) | 4.6% (-54.0%) | $1.05 (-55.1%) |
| 2023 | $11.0b (14.7%) | $827.0m (87.1%) | $763.0m (4.0%) | 7.5% (63.1%) | $1.99 (89.5%) |
| 2024 | $11.3b (3.0%) | $911.0m (10.2%) | $714.0m (-6.4%) | 8.1% (7.0%) | $2.34 (17.6%) |
| 2025 | $11.8b (4.4%) | $929.0m (2.0%) | $840.0m (17.6%) | 7.9% (-2.3%) | $2.52 (7.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.