Discounted Cash Flow
Zumiez Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $836.3m | $25.9m | $28.1m | 3.1% | $1.05 |
| 2018 | $927.4m (10.9%) | $26.8m (3.5%) | $41.5m (47.8%) | 2.9% (-6.7%) | $1.09 (3.8%) |
| 2019 | $978.6m (5.5%) | $45.2m (68.7%) | $44.4m (7.1%) | 4.6% (59.8%) | $1.81 (66.1%) |
| 2020 | $1.0b (5.7%) | $66.9m (48.0%) | $87.3m (96.6%) | 6.5% (40.0%) | $2.65 (46.4%) |
| 2021 | $990.7m (-4.2%) | $76.2m (14.0%) | $129.4m (48.3%) | 7.7% (19.0%) | $3.06 (15.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (19.5%) | $119.3m (56.5%) | $119.2m (-7.8%) | 10.1% (31.0%) | $4.93 (61.1%) |
| 2023 | $958.4m (-19.0%) | $21.0m (-82.4%) | $-26.0m (-121.8%) | 2.2% (-78.2%) | $1.10 (-77.7%) |
| 2024 | $875.5m (-8.6%) | $-62.6m (-397.7%) | $-5.6m (78.5%) | -7.2% (-425.8%) | $-3.25 (-395.5%) |
| 2025 | $889.2m (1.6%) | $-1.7m (97.3%) | $5.7m (201.8%) | -0.2% (97.3%) | $-0.09 (97.2%) |
| 2026 | $929.1m (4.5%) | $13.4m (880.9%) | $42.4m (644.5%) | 1.4% (847.4%) | $0.80 (988.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.